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Riviera Audit/Divergence Engine
Prediction Layer

Divergence Engine

Zone score trajectory, velocity, and predicted range. Not just where zones are — where they're going and why.

2 DECLINING5 IMPROVING1 STABLE
⚠ DIVERGENCE ALERT — DECLINING ZONES
Tulum-5 pts (90d)↓ AcceleratingPredicted: 6469
Bacalar-5 pts (90d)↓ AcceleratingPredicted: 5458
Zone Trajectories
Cancun
83
STEADY
+4 pts (90d)
90-day trend
30-Day Prediction · HIGH Confidence
8386
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Playa del Carmen
78
STEADY
+3 pts (90d)
90-day trend
30-Day Prediction · MEDIUM Confidence
7780
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Tulum
71
ACCELERATING
-5 pts (90d)
90-day trend
30-Day Prediction · HIGH Confidence
6469
Ejido Expiry RiskView/Access ImpactCompliance Lapse
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Bacalar
58
ACCELERATING
-5 pts (90d)
90-day trend
30-Day Prediction · HIGH Confidence
5458
Supply Delivery RiskFraud IndicatorEjido Expiry Risk
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Akumal
82
STABILIZING
+2 pts (90d)
90-day trend
30-Day Prediction · MEDIUM Confidence
8184
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Puerto Morelos
64
STABLE
+0 pts (90d)
90-day trend
30-Day Prediction · MEDIUM Confidence
6266
Ejido Expiry Risk
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Cozumel
76
STEADY
+3 pts (90d)
90-day trend
30-Day Prediction · MEDIUM Confidence
7579
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Mahahual
69
ACCELERATING
+4 pts (90d)
90-day trend
30-Day Prediction · LOW Confidence
6974
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About Divergence Predictions

Predictions are based on 90-day score trajectory, active signal counts, historical precedent from similar market conditions, and confidence-weighted risk factor analysis. They are directional estimates, not guarantees.

Full methodology →
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