
Riviera Maya · Quintana Roo
Zone Intelligence
Bacalar
High potential, high risk. The lagoon aesthetic drives demand but ejido exposure, permit gaps, and delivery delays make this the highest-risk zone we track.
COVERAGE BUILDINGEJIDO: LOW
Score AI estimate
32
Risk AI estimate
Coverage building
Trend
—
Acquisition Tax Official
2%
once, at closing · Art. 57
Safety Trend AI estimate
falling
Avg STR Yield (est.) AI estimate
0.0%
Verified Participants Measured
14
32
Cautious
Zone Score · City Level
AI estimate
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ApprovedPendingLapsed
construction
construction
construction
construction
construction
Municipio-level data from the Registro Agrario Nacional's open-data catalogue — precision is per-municipio, not per-zone, so neighboring zones sharing a municipio (e.g. Akumal within Tulum municipio) show the same figures.
Ejidos in BACALAR
55
Ejido Surface
440,257 ha
55 Certified Nuclei in this Municipio
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Median price
$2,386/m²
Middle half of listings
$2,095 – $2,852/m²
| Neighbourhood | Median $/m² | Middle half | Listings |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bacalar | $2,259 | $2,104 – $2,604 | 21 |
24 apartment listings collected up to 2026-10-25 from EasyBroker, propiedades.com. Neighbourhoods with fewer than 8 listings are not shown.
Quintana Roo (state), Q2 2026
+9.8% year on year
Previous quarter (Q1 2026)
+13.42%
Mexico overall
+7.31%
Sociedad Hipotecaria Federal index of homes appraised for mortgages (new and resale, all price segments), as reported by IIEG. It tracks the direction of local home prices, not the foreign-buyer condo market or the listing prices above. SHF does not publish this municipio separately, so this is the Quintana Roo state figure.
| Month | Area | $/m² | Listings | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 | Zone-wide | $2,512 | 23 | EasyBroker listings |
Prices per m². Listing figures are medians of each collection. Sources differ in coverage, so compare months within the same source.
2br— yield$210/night
1br— yield$143.64/night
Riviera Audit consensus estimate, modelled from zone prices and the market data we track; not measured from booking records. Check against actual rental records before relying on it. Month: Sep 2026.
Found by AI search of press and government sites; check the source before relying on an item.
Hacienda San Agustín — MIA denied
Environmental permit (MIA)
Hotel Hacienda San Agustín — MIA denied
Environmental permit (MIA)
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The Riviera Maya, measured.